Fantasy Of Extreme Weather

Fantasy Of Extreme Weather

This week there were three stories describing new research proving that global warming is going to cause an increase in the number and violence of extreme weather events. Each was published in one of the world’s three most important scientific journals.

Sounds gloomy, doesn’t it? Not only will extreme heatwaves, cold waves, and droughts tear apart the very fabric of society, you will not be able to drink your soda in peace on your next airplane ride!

However, one little detail, buried in one of these stories as a single sentence, literally makes hogwash out of everything else said in these three articles.

But before I tell you that little detail, I want to discuss each story itself, for even without that detail these stories have feet of clay.

The first proposes that atmospheric turbulence will increase drastically once the amount of carbon dioxide has risen to be twice what it was prior to the beginning of the industrial revolution. At the present rate of increase, this moment is expected to occur in about 2050.

During winter months, when clear-air turbulence is at its worst in that area, 16 of the 21 often-used ways in which scientists measure turbulence suggest that the average intensity of the plane-rattling phenomenon … will be between 10% and 40% stronger when CO2 concentrations are double their preindustrial value. … Accordingly, the frequency of moderate-or-greater turbulence—intensities at which passengers will experience accelerations of 0.5 g or more, which are strong enough to toss items about the cabin—will rise by between 40% and 170%.

Oh no! We’re all gonna die!

Not really. This report is not based on actual data, but on a computer simulations using the same computer models that have also been predicting for the past twenty years that the increase in the global temperature will rise in lockstep with the increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Unfortunately, all those computer models have turned out to be wrong. While the amount of CO2 has continued to go up, the global temperature stopped rising around 1998.

Advertisements

Rare Snow Storm? We Live Up North, It Snows Here!

Rare Snow Storm?

Click on my picture for link to news article.

When I was growing up, 6 feet of snow was normal every couple years up in the foothills of the Cascades. Of course back in the 60s, we didn’t have so many cars and no freeways. People took care when they were out and about because we didn’t have insurance, we had to be careful, there was no one to save our sorry butts if we weren’t careful. News feeds show people wrecking their cars and trucks on the freeway going to work. How about staying home when the streets are covered with ice? Or at least driving slowly? The pioneers built doors in the peak of their attic in case of deep snow. These kinds of snow storms are not unusual up north, it snows here, that’s what it does up in the Northern climates, talk about fear mongering. Weather follows the cycles of the sun and our magnetic poles. Both our poles and the sun are acting strange, Earth’s magnetic poles are flipping (it happens, it’s normal) and the sunspot activity is very low. This pole flip and low sun activity means erratic weather patterns. Up north we have to be very aware of weather or we die. Any farmer or hunter worth their salt knows what’s coming. We pay attention to natures cycles with our Almanac. http://www.almanac.com/ It seems we have lost our common sense and our history. People don’t know how to take care of themselves anymore. No one else will do this for us. Especially our self serving government.

Common sense tells you don’t build your home out of bricks if you live near fault lines. Don’t build your home near the ocean cliffs or on the beach, don’t build your home in a floodplain. And for goodness sake have some supplies in your car if you get in trouble and food, water, alternative energy for your home if our energy and food grids go down!

Gate

What do we really know about the Sun-climate connection?

What do we really know about the Sun-climate connection?

I like the link function on this site. I can use it to remind me to read an interesting article. I like to read pro-con views regarding man made and or solar weather climate change.  It is very important to get many views regarding extremely important events that may or is changing your life. Also if someone is going to make a ton of money on taxes like the carbon taxes. I don’t trust government at all regarding telling the truth after they have been caught in so many lies. So I research and I stand back and watch.

What do we really know about the Sun-climate connection?

 Eigil Friis-Christensen and Henrik Svensmark

Solar-Terrestrial Physics Division, Danish Meteorological Institute, lyngbyvej 100, DK-2100 Copenhagen Ø, Denmark, E-mail: Eigil.Friis@dmi.dk

ABSTRACT

The Earth’s climate has always been changing. This is documented in historical as well as in geological records. The reasons for these changes, however, have always been subject to discussions and are still not well understood. In addition to natural climate changes the risk of human influence on climate has recently been seriously considered by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Any factor that alters the radiation received from the Sun or lost to Space will affect climate. The Sun’s output of energy is known to change over an 11-year cycle, and variations over longer periods occur as well. A number of correlations between solar activity variations and climate changes, some more significant than others, have been reported but they have traditionally been accompanied by a considerable skepticism among scientists because a plausible physical mechanism to account for these correlations has not yet been found. The most immediate cause of climate changes would be changes in the total irradiance of the Sun. This, however, would either imply unrealistically large variations in total solar irradiance or a higher climate sensitivity to radiative forcing than normally accepted. Therefore other mechanisms have to be invoked. The most promising candidate is a change in cloud formation because clouds have a very strong impact on the radiation balance and because only little energy is needed to change the cloud formation process. One of the ways to influence cloud formation might be through the cosmic ray flux that is strongly modulated by the varying solar activity.